AAPL // Q3 FY2026 EARNINGS
THEVALUETRADER RESEARCH
EARNINGS DASHBOARD: JUL 30, 2026
REF: AAPL-Q3-FY2026-EARNINGS
Apple: Q3 FY2026 Earnings
A record June quarter closes out Tim Cook's tenure as CEO, but Services and China both missed, and shares fell after hours
Headline
Revenue of $109.4B and EPS of $2.02 both beat, powered by a 22% iPhone surge, but Services and Greater China missed, and this was Tim Cook's last call as CEO.
TOTAL REVENUE$109.4B, vs ~$108.8-109.0B est., +16% YoY
DILUTED EPS$2.02, +29% YoY (incl. $0.11 tariff benefit)
GROSS MARGIN50.1%, incl. ~2pp tariff refund benefit
SERVICES REVENUE$30.74B, vs ~$31.2-31.4B est. (miss)
GREATER CHINA REVENUE$18.8B, vs ~$19.5-19.6B est. (miss)
STOCK REACTION (AH)−3% to −4%
Cleared the Bar
Beats
- Total revenue $109.4B vs. ~$108.8-109.0B consensus, a June-quarter record, +16% YoY
- Diluted EPS $2.02, up 29% YoY, marking a ninth consecutive quarterly beat
- iPhone revenue $54.25B vs. $53.86B estimate, up 22% YoY, with June quarter records in every geographic segment and a record for upgraders
- Mac revenue $10.35B vs. $8.74B estimate, a substantial beat driven by the new MacBook lineup
- Net income $29.79B vs. $23.43B a year ago
Fell Short
Misses
- Services revenue $30.74B vs. ~$31.2-31.4B estimate, still a positive YoY gain, but a miss on the market's highest-margin, most-loved growth story
- Greater China revenue $18.8B vs. ~$19.5-19.6B estimate, a disappointment in Apple's third-largest market
- iPad revenue $6.19B vs. $6.92B estimate, down 6% YoY against a tough prior-year comparison
- Roughly $0.11 of the $2.02 EPS and about 2 percentage points of the 50.1% gross margin came from a one-time tariff refund, not core operations
- Stock fell 3-4% in extended trading despite the top-and-bottom-line beat
φ 02Income Statement Snapshot
TOTAL REVENUE (Q3 FY2026 vs Q3 FY2025)$109.4B vs $94.0B, +16%
PRODUCTS REVENUE+18% YoY
SERVICES REVENUE$30.74B vs ~$27.4B, +12% YoY
iPHONE REVENUE$54.25B vs $44.58B, +22%
MAC REVENUE$10.35B vs $8.05B, strong growth
iPAD REVENUE$6.19B vs $6.58B, −6%
GREATER CHINA REVENUE$18.8B, miss vs. est., tough compare
GROSS MARGIN50.1% vs 46.5%, +360bps YoY
NET INCOME$29.79B vs $23.43B, +27%
DILUTED EPS$2.02 vs $1.57, +29%
QUARTERLY DIVIDEND$0.27/share, payable Aug 13
For reference, Q2 FY2026 (reported April 30): revenue $111.2B (+16.6%), EPS $2.01 (+~20%), gross margin 49.3%, Greater China +28% YoY. Q3's slight sequential revenue decline reflects normal seasonality, not deterioration, but the Services and China misses this quarter break a string of largely clean beats.
The CEO Transition
- This was Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO. John Ternus, Apple's SVP of Hardware Engineering and a 25-year Apple veteran, becomes CEO on September 1, 2026
- Ternus inherits a company with approximately $146.5B in cash and marketable securities, roughly $62.2B in net cash, and more than $117B in operating cash flow generated over the first nine months of fiscal 2026
- Cook closed his tenure the way he ran it: record revenue, disciplined supply-chain execution, and double-digit growth across every reported geographic segment
Supply Constraints & Memory Costs
- Apple raised prices on Macs and iPads in June due to a global surge in memory chip costs, Cook said the company "reluctantly raised prices" because of exponential increases in component costs
- Management warned that supply constraints will have a "much bigger impact" on revenue in the September quarter, affecting iPhone, iPad, and Mac availability
- Cook cited less flexibility in the supply chain than normal, alongside constraints on advanced-node chip availability
Siri AI & Product Roadmap
- Apple confirmed it is preparing to launch an all-new Siri AI, described by Cook as "a completely reimagined version of Siri that is profoundly capable, deeply personal, and integrated seamlessly across our platforms"
- Cook credited the A19 and A19 Pro chips for powering on-device AI features driving iPhone demand
- R&D expenses rose more than 32% YoY, reflecting continued investment in AI, custom silicon, health, and spatial computing ahead of the leadership transition
Tim Cook, CEO (Final Earnings Call)
"Today, Apple is proud to report our strongest June quarter ever, with double-digit revenue growth across iPhone, Mac and Services, and in every geographic segment. At WWDC26, we were thrilled to introduce the all-new Siri AI, alongside all of Apple's latest software innovations and important new child safety features."
Kevan Parekh, CFO
"We are very pleased with our record business performance during the quarter, which set new June quarter records for both EPS and operating cash flow."
Bull Case
Positives
- iPhone growth of 22% YoY, with records in every geographic segment and a record upgrade rate, confirms the iPhone 17 cycle has genuine, broad-based staying power rather than a single-market pop
- Mac revenue's sharp beat shows the new lineup (MacBook Neo, M5-generation MacBook Air/Pro) is winning first-time buyers in a contracting PC market
- Nine consecutive quarterly EPS beats and nearly $150B in cash give Ternus exceptional financial flexibility on day one
- Double-digit growth across every reported region, even amid supply constraints, suggests demand, not distribution, is the binding constraint
- The all-new Siri AI represents Apple's most significant on-device AI push yet, positioned to matter across the whole installed base rather than a single product category
Bear Case
Concerns
- Services missing estimates is the most structurally important data point in the release: it's Apple's highest-margin, most-loved growth story, and a miss here is harder to dismiss than hardware seasonality
- Greater China revenue missing estimates, in Apple's third-largest market, reopens a recurring source of investor anxiety about the region's durability
- Guidance for the September quarter flags supply constraints that will be worse than Q3's, directly affecting iPhone, iPad, and Mac: the exact products driving this quarter's beat
- Rising memory costs forcing Mac and iPad price increases could pressure margins or unit volumes if sustained into the holiday quarter
- The leadership transition to Ternus, while smooth in messaging, is untested at this scale. The market has not yet seen how a new CEO handles a genuine strategic surprise
- Apple reclaimed the world's largest market-cap title on July 27, closing at an all-time high of $336.91 (~$4.93-4.95T market cap) heading into the print
- Shares had gained roughly 23% year-to-date heading into the report
- Analyst Ethan Feller (Zacks): "Revenue grew 16% year over year, a remarkable growth rate at Apple's scale, while EPS jumped 29%, marking a ninth consecutive quarterly beat", but called Services "the real explanation for the after-hours pullback more than any broader rotation narrative"
- Apple reports alongside Amazon this week, both closing out a heavy week of mega-cap tech earnings
φ 07TVT Verdict, Quick Reference
Tim Cook's final quarter as CEO was, on the surface, exactly the record-setting close his tenure deserved: double-digit growth across every region, a 22% iPhone surge, and a ninth straight EPS beat. The market's 3-4% after-hours reaction, however, is squarely about what didn't work: Services missing estimates for the first time in a while, and Greater China falling short in a market investors have learned to watch closely. Roughly $0.11 of EPS and 2 points of gross margin came from a one-time tariff refund, meaning the underlying beat, while still real, was somewhat smaller than the headline suggests. The September-quarter warning on worsening supply constraints, tied to a global memory-chip shortage that already forced Mac and iPad price hikes, is the more immediate concern for John Ternus as he takes over September 1. He inherits a company at record scale, with nearly $150B in cash and a genuinely strong iPhone cycle, but also two open questions (Services growth, China durability) that Cook is handing off unresolved. Next earnings: Q4 FY2026, expected late October 2026, will be Ternus's first as CEO.
Greater China
$18.8B (miss)
Next Earnings
Late Oct 2026
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